Posted on: September 29, 2023, 01:56h.
Final up to date on: September 29, 2023, 02:06h.
Heading into the ultimate weekend of MLB’s common season, three groups are combating for the ultimate two spots within the American League wild card, together with the Toronto Blue Jays, Houston Astros, and Seattle Mariners.
The Tampa Bay Rays (97-62) locked up the primary AL wild-card spot, however they received’t have ace Shane McClanahan within the postseason after he underwent Tommy John surgical procedure.
Two extra AL wild-card berths are at stake with three video games remaining. If the season ended right now, the Blue Jays (88-71) and Astros (87-72) would safe the opposite two AL wild-card spots. The Mariners (86-73) are presently on the postseason bubble, and path the Blue Jays by two video games and the Astros by one recreation.
The AL West title continues to be up for grabs, however the first-place Texas Rangers (89-70) management their very own future. They maintain a two-game lead over the Astros and a three-game lead over the Mariners. The winner of the AL West secures an computerized berth to the playoffs. There’s a situation during which the AL West sends three groups to the playoffs if the Blue Jays falter and the Mariners win their weekend collection in opposition to the Rangers.
Blue Jays Sitting Fairly
The Blue Jays end out the season internet hosting a three-game homestand in opposition to the Rays in an AL East divisional throwdown. Each groups have a 5-5 file in opposition to one another this season.
The Blue Jays are presently within the second AL wild-card spot. They’ve a one-game lead over the Astros and a two-game lead over the Mariners. The Blue Jays additionally maintain a tiebreaker edge over the Astros with a 4-3 file in opposition to them this season.
The Blue Jays can clinch the wild card with a mix of two victories or two losses by the Mariners.
Within the 2022 postseason, the Blue Jays have been an AL wild-card squad. The Blue Jays are an enormous favourite to make the playoffs at -2000 odds, and a protracted shot to overlook the postseason at +1100 odds. FanGraphs estimates the Blue Jays have a 93.7% probability to qualify for the playoffs.
In AL pennant odds, the Blue Jays are one of many lengthy pictures on the board at +800 odds to win the ALCS. The Blue Jays are +1800 odds to win the World Collection. They’re looking for their first championship since securing back-to-back championships in 1993 after they defeated the Philadelphia Phillies courtesy of a walk-off dwelling run by Joe Carter in Sport 6.
Astros Search to Defend World Collection Title
The Astros occupy second place within the AL West, they usually path the first-place Texas Rangers (89-70) by two video games. The Rangers, who misplaced veteran pitcher Max Scherzer to a muscle damage, can lock up a division title with a mix of two victories or two losses by the Astros.
The Rangers are the betting favourite to win the AL West at -750 odds, and the Astros are +900 odds to clinch a third-straight division crown.
The Astros head to Arizona to play a three-game collection in opposition to the Diamondbacks (84-75) this weekend. The Diamondbacks presently maintain down a Nationwide League wild-card spot, which isn’t assured, in order that they’re additionally in the course of a fierce NL wild-card race.
The Astros are -255 odds to advance to the playoffs for a shot to defend their World Collection title. They’re +210 odds to overlook the playoffs if the Mariners make a run this weekend. In keeping with a postseason projection by FanGraphs, the Astros have a 76% probability to safe a visit to the playoffs.
The Astros are +650 odds to win the AL pennant. They appeared within the ALCS in every of the final six seasons. They’re looking for a third-straight AL pennant, and received the AL pennant 4 occasions within the final six postseasons.
The Astros are +1300 odds to win the 2023 World Collection and FanGraphs tasks they’ve a 9.8% probability to repeat. The Astros are the defending champions and received the World Collection twice since 2017. They have been additionally a runner-up in 2019 and 2021.
Successful the World Collection in consecutive seasons is a troublesome job, and the New York Yankees have been the final repeat champion after they pulled off a three-peat in 2001.
Mariners Nonetheless Have a Glimmer of Hope
The Mariners blew a three-game lead within the AL West, and discover themselves on the postseason bubble after a dismal September. They headed into the ultimate weekend of the season only one recreation out of the AL wild card. They path the Astros by one recreation and the Blue Jays by two video games.
The Mariners host the Rangers for a three-game collection to finish the season, however the Rangers dominated the Mariners with an 8-2 file in 10 divisional video games this season.
If the Mariners sweep the Rangers, they’ll put themselves in the most effective spot to safe an AL wild-card berth. They’re additionally rooting for the Diamondbacks and Rays this weekend to pummel the Astros and Blue Jays.
The Mariners are +150 odds to make the playoffs. You’ll be able to fade them at -180 odds. FanGraphs tasks that the Mariners have a 32.9% probability to make the playoffs.
The Mariners joined the AL as an enlargement group in 1977. Of their franchise historical past, they superior to the playoffs solely 5 occasions together with final 12 months as a wild-card squad.
The Mariners are a protracted shot to win the World Collection at +3000 odds, they usually’re +1500 odds to win the AL pennant. The Mariners have by no means received an AL pennant, they usually’re the one group in MLB historical past that by no means appeared within the World Collection.