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Posted on: December 22, 2023, 01:07h.
Final up to date on: December 25, 2023, 11:04h.
In accordance with a prop guess by DraftKings, the Buffalo Payments are -210 odds to make the playoffs. You may fade them at +170 odds to overlook the playoffs.
Upshot just lately up to date their playoff projections, giving the Payments a 63% likelihood of advancing to the postseason.
The Payments (8-6) are taking part in their finest ball of the season, however they’re at present ranked ninth within the AFC. Solely seven groups advance to the postseason from every convention, together with 4 division winners and three wild-card groups.
If the season ended in the present day, the Baltimore Ravens (11-3) would earn the #1 seed within the AFC. The Miami Dolphins (10-4) are at present within the #2 seed, adopted by the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs (9-5) because the #3 seed, and the Jacksonville Jaguars (8-6) because the #4 seed. The three AFC wild-card groups are the Cleveland Browns (9-5) because the #5 seed, the Cincinnati Bengals (8-6) because the #6 seed, and the Indianapolis Colts (8-6) because the #7 seed.
The Houston Texans (8-6) are on the bubble within the eighth total spot, and simply forward of the Payments in ninth.
Payments: 3-1 Since Dorsey Acquired Fired
Because the Payments fired offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, their offense has regarded a lot better within the final 4 video games. Josh Allen accepted full duty for Dorsey’s dismissal, and he’s been taking part in with extra gusto. The Payments went 3-1 with one loss in opposition to the Philadelphia Eagles in time beyond regulation in Week 12.
The Payments have been in “playoff mode” since their bye week. They went on the highway and defeated the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs, 20-17, in a must-win scenario in Week 14.
Final Sunday, in Week 15, the Payments simply defeated the Dallas Cowboys, 31-10, to maintain their playoff hopes alive.
Allen has accomplished 66.3% of his passes this season for 3,541 passing yards with 26 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. He’s not operating the ball as often (80 rushes) or successfully (5.0 yards per carry) as he did in earlier seasons. However he scored a career-high 11 dashing touchdowns by means of 14 video games this season. He’s tallied 4 dashing scores within the final three video games.
Second-year operating again James Cook dinner stepped up this season, and the Payments have been operating the ball extra effectively since they fired Dorsey. Cook dinner is coming off the perfect sport of the season after he gashed the Cowboys for 179 dashing yards, 42 receiving yards, and two mixed touchdowns.
Cook dinner rushed 188 occasions for 968 yards, and two touchdowns this season. He’s averaging 5.1 yards per carry. He additionally added 40 receptions for 433 yards and 4 touchdowns.
On the defensive finish, the Payments are peaking on the proper time. They held opponents to 10 or fewer factors twice of their final three victories.
Betting the Payments on the Futures Market
With three video games remaining on the schedule, the Payments host just one extra dwelling sport, taking part in in opposition to the New England Patriots in Week 17 on New 12 months’s Eve. They hit the highway to play the Los Angeles Chargers on Saturday in Week 16. They finish the season in Miami to play the Dolphins in Week 18.
The ultimate week of the season might in the end decide whether or not the Payments make the playoffs. That’s once they head to Miami to play a divisional rival. The Payments already defeated the Dolphins as soon as this season, demolishing them 48-20, in a Week 4 blowout.
If the Dolphins lose all their remaining video games, then the Payments can snatch away the AFC East division crown by successful all of their video games, together with a victory in opposition to the Dolphins in Week 18. The Dolphins are -270 odds to win the AFC East whereas the Payments are +210 odds.
The Dolphins have a 73% likelihood to win the division, in accordance with a projection by Upshot. The Payments have a 27% likelihood to drag off an enormous coup.
The Payments are +1200 odds to win Tremendous Bowl LVIII. They hit a low level of +5000 odds on the finish of Week 13, however have since rebounded. The Payments are fourth on the NFL futures board at +650 odds to win the AFC Championship.
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